Growth dynamics of untreated meningiomas
Strand, Per Sveino; Wågø, Kathrine Jørgensen; Pedersen, Andre; Reinertsen, Ingerid Reime; Näslund, Olivia; Jakola, Asgeir Store; Bouget, David Nicolas Jean-Marie; Hosainey, Sayied Abdol Mohieb; Sagberg, Lisa Millgård; Vanel, Johanna; Solheim, Ole Skeidsvoll
Journal article, Peer reviewed
Published version
Date
2023Metadata
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Abstract
Abstract
Background
Knowledge about meningioma growth characteristics is needed for developing biologically rational follow-up routines. In this study of untreated meningiomas followed with repeated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, we studied growth dynamics and explored potential factors associated with tumor growth.
Methods
In a single-center cohort study, we included 235 adult patients with radiologically suspected intracranial meningioma and at least 3 MRI scans during follow-up. Tumors were segmented using an automatic algorithm from contrast-enhanced T1 series, and, if needed, manually corrected. Potential meningioma growth curves were statistically compared: linear, exponential, linear radial, or Gompertzian. Factors associated with growth were explored.
Results
In 235 patients, 1394 MRI scans were carried out in the median 5-year observational period. Of the models tested, a Gompertzian growth curve best described growth dynamics of meningiomas on group level. 59% of the tumors grew, 27% remained stable, and 14% shrunk. Only 13 patients (5%) underwent surgery during the observational period and were excluded after surgery. Tumor size at the time of diagnosis, multifocality, and length of follow-up were associated with tumor growth, whereas age, sex, presence of peritumoral edema, and hyperintense T2-signal were not significant factors.
Conclusions
Untreated meningiomas follow a Gompertzian growth curve, indicating that increasing and potentially doubling subsequent follow-up intervals between MRIs seems biologically reasonable, instead of fixed time intervals. Tumor size at diagnosis is the strongest predictor of future growth, indicating a potential for longer follow-up intervals for smaller tumors. Although most untreated meningiomas grow, few require surgery.