dc.contributor.author | Kaut, Michal | |
dc.contributor.author | Vaagen, Hajnalka | |
dc.contributor.author | Wallace, Stein William | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2021-01-08T14:07:59Z | |
dc.date.available | 2021-01-08T14:07:59Z | |
dc.date.created | 2021-01-03T09:33:36Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020 | |
dc.identifier.citation | International Journal of Production Economics. 2021, 233, . | en_US |
dc.identifier.issn | 0925-5273 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/11250/2722238 | |
dc.description.abstract | Most model based studies on project uncertainty investigate a single source of uncertainty, with a dominant focus on stochastic activity durations. However, another major uncertainty facing engineering projects is that of changes in design troughout the project delivery. This may come from uncertainty in the market, technology, or regulations, leading to changes in design and implementation paths, with alterations in the project network itself. This comes on top of stochastic and correlated activity durations for a given design. In this paper we develop a stochastic program to investigate how uncertainty in design and activity durations, together, affect planning, and their relationships. The findings suggest that when design uncertainty is modelled by multiple alternatives and delayed decisions on the final alternative, stochastic and correlated activity durations have limited impact. In situations with alternative and subtitutable solutions available for a given design, correlations drive a certain learning behaviour. | en_US |
dc.language.iso | eng | en_US |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | en_US |
dc.rights | Navngivelse 4.0 Internasjonal | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.no | * |
dc.title | The combined impact of stochastic and correlated activity durations and design uncertainty on project plans | en_US |
dc.type | Peer reviewed | en_US |
dc.type | Journal article | en_US |
dc.description.version | publishedVersion | en_US |
dc.source.volume | 233 | en_US |
dc.source.journal | International Journal of Production Economics | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2020.108015 | |
dc.identifier.cristin | 1864362 | |
dc.description.localcode | This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons CC-BY license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. | en_US |
cristin.ispublished | true | |
cristin.fulltext | original | |
cristin.qualitycode | 2 | |