Obesity, waist circumference, weight change, and risk of incident psoriasis: prospective data from the HUNT study

Abstract

Although psoriasis has been associated with obesity, there are few prospective studies with objective measures. We prospectively examined the effect of body mass index, waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, and 10-year weight change on the risk of developing psoriasis among 33,734 people in the population-based Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (i.e., HUNT), Norway. During follow-up, 369 incident psoriasis cases occurred. Relative risk (RR) of psoriasis was estimated by Cox regression. One standard deviation higher body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-hip ratio gave RRs of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11–1.34), 1.26 (95% CI = 1.15–1.39), and 1.18 (95% CI = 1.07–1.31), respectively. Compared with normal weight participants, obese people had an RR of 1.87 (95% CI = 1.38–2.52), whereas comparing the fourth with the first quartile of waist circumference gave an RR of 1.95 (95% CI = 1.46–2.61). One standard deviation higher weight change gave an RR of 1.20 (95% CI = 1.07–1.35), and people who increased their body weight by 10 kg or more had an RR of 1.72 (95% CI = 1.15–2.58) compared with being weight stable. In conclusion, obesity and high abdominal fat mass doubles the risk of psoriasis, and long-term weight gain substantially increases psoriasis risk. Preventing weight gain and promoting maintenance of a normal body weight could reduce incidence of psoriasis.