dc.contributor.author | Andersson, Leif Erik | |
dc.contributor.author | Scibilia, Francesco | |
dc.contributor.author | Imsland, Lars Struen | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-04-05T08:18:45Z | |
dc.date.available | 2019-04-05T08:18:45Z | |
dc.date.created | 2019-01-14T11:48:10Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Cold Regions Science and Technology. 2019, 158 128-142. | nb_NO |
dc.identifier.issn | 0165-232X | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2593427 | |
dc.description.abstract | This article proposes a statistical model for short-term iceberg drift forecasts by transforming the problem of forecasting the iceberg velocity into a problem of forecasting the ocean current velocity. A Vector-autoregression model is identified using historical ocean current data as a training set. The proposed forecast scheme is tested and analysed on four real iceberg drift trajectories. Based on these results, recommendations about the forecast horizon, the filter horizon and model order are given. Moreover, it is shown that the statistical forecast approach presented in this article offers superior performance to a conventional dynamic iceberg forecast model for short-term drift forecasts. | nb_NO |
dc.language.iso | eng | nb_NO |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | nb_NO |
dc.rights | Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Internasjonal | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.no | * |
dc.title | An iceberg forecast approach based on a statistical ocean current model | nb_NO |
dc.type | Journal article | nb_NO |
dc.type | Peer reviewed | nb_NO |
dc.description.version | acceptedVersion | nb_NO |
dc.source.pagenumber | 128-142 | nb_NO |
dc.source.volume | 158 | nb_NO |
dc.source.journal | Cold Regions Science and Technology | nb_NO |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.coldregions.2018.11.016 | |
dc.identifier.cristin | 1656142 | |
dc.relation.project | Norges forskningsråd: 223254 | nb_NO |
dc.description.localcode | © 2018. This is the authors’ accepted and refereed manuscript to the article. Locked until 24.11.2020 due to copyright restrictions. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ | nb_NO |
cristin.unitcode | 194,63,25,0 | |
cristin.unitname | Institutt for teknisk kybernetikk | |
cristin.ispublished | true | |
cristin.fulltext | postprint | |
cristin.qualitycode | 2 | |