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Sequential Investment in Gas-Fired Power Plants

Ingebrigtsen, Kristoffer; Kaldahl, Jonas Aase; Fleten, Stein-Erik; Ullrich, Carl J.
Journal article, Peer reviewed
Accepted version
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JandK_IAEE+conference_b.pdf (Locked)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2504890
Date
2018
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  • Institutt for industriell økonomi og teknologiledelse [3393]
  • Publikasjoner fra CRIStin - NTNU [41881]
Abstract
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the real options to postpone and cancel sequential investments with time-to-build. Using generator level data we consider investments in gas-fired combined cycle and combustion turbine electric power generators. We find strong evidence of real options effects. Regulatory uncertainty and profit uncertainty increase the probability of postponing investments. We also find evidence that regulatory uncertainty increases the probability of canceling investments.
Publisher
International Association for Energy Economics
Journal
IAEE International Conference

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