Machine learning model to predict evolution of pulseless electrical activity during in-hospital cardiac arrest

Abstract

Background During pulseless electrical activity (PEA) the cardiac mechanical and electrical functions are dissociated, a phenomenon occurring in 25–42% of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) cases. Accurate evaluation of the likelihood of a PEA patient transitioning to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) may be vital for the successful resuscitation. The aim We sought to develop a model to automatically discriminate between PEA rhythms with favorable and unfavorable evolution to ROSC. Methods A dataset of 190 patients, 120 with ROSC, were acquired with defibrillators from different vendors in three hospitals. The ECG and the transthoracic impedance (TTI) signal were processed to compute 16 waveform features. Logistic regression models where designed integrating both automated features and characteristics annotated in the QRS to identify PEAs with better prognosis leading to ROSC. Cross validation techniques were applied, both patient-specific and stratified, to evaluate the performance of the algorithm. Results The best model consisted in a three feature algorithm that exhibited median (interquartile range) Area Under the Curve/Balanced accuracy/Sensitivity/Specificity of 80.3(9.9)/75.6(8.0)/ 77.4(15.2)/72.3(16.4) %, respectively. Conclusions Information hidden in the waveforms of the ECG and TTI signals, along with QRS complex features, can predict the progression of PEA. Automated methods as the one proposed in this study, could contribute to assist in the targeted treatment of PEA in IHCA.